Why is the belief that “more data leads to better decisions” often a misleading myth in business?

Why is the belief that “more data leads to better decisions” often a misleading myth in business?

Info

In today’s era of big data, it’s common to hear that more data automatically results in better decisions. While data is undeniably important, this myth has created a dangerous dependency on sheer volume over value. Businesses are increasingly gathering vast amounts of data, only to struggle with insights, speed, and clarity. The reality is, too much data without proper interpretation can lead to analysis paralysis, misinformed decisions, or even inaction.

Why the myth is misleading:

  1. Not all data is created equal

    • Raw data without context or quality control can lead to flawed insights.

    • Outdated or incomplete data may create a false sense of accuracy.

    • Businesses often confuse data presence with data relevance.

  2. Analysis paralysis becomes common

    • Decision-makers may delay action because they’re overwhelmed by endless dashboards, KPIs, and reports.

    • Teams may debate endlessly over interpretations rather than acting quickly.

    • Speed and intuition suffer when overwhelmed with excessive metrics.

  3. False confidence in biased data

    • Confirmation bias leads people to look only for data that supports their opinions.

    • Data visualizations, if not carefully analyzed, can manipulate perception (e.g., scale distortion in charts).

    • Businesses sometimes interpret correlation as causation, leading to flawed strategies.

  4. Decision-making still requires human judgment

    • Data can show “what” is happening, but not always “why” or “how to fix it”.

    • Intuition, customer empathy, and domain experience are still critical.

    • Many breakthrough business decisions (e.g., Apple's product launches) were not purely data-driven, but based on visionary thinking.

Real-world examples:

  • Target’s data science once predicted a teenage girl’s pregnancy before her family knew—leading to a privacy backlash. Data was accurate but lacked sensitivity.

  • Netflix’s initial data-driven content model (like "Marco Polo") failed despite deep analytics, showing that human storytelling still trumps algorithms.

  • Blackberry relied too heavily on historical usage data (keyboard demand) and ignored market trends—losing out to Apple and Android.